Credit: PTI File Photo
Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das will announce the next set of monetary policy on Friday morning amid expectations of a status quo on the benchmark interest rates.
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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is widely expected to keep key policy interest rates unchanged for the eighth time in a row on Friday as food prices remain volatile despite easing in inflation and a coalition government at the Centre raises concern over fiscal populism, economists and experts said.
The monetary policy committee (MPC) of the RBI started its three-day meeting on June 5, a day after Lok Sabha election results showed diminished mandate for Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led coalition National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
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Indian shares are set to open slightly higher on Friday, ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's policy meeting at which it is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged.
The Gift Nifty was trading at 22,905 as of 07:40 am IST, indicating that the benchmark Nifty 50 will open marginally higher than its close of 22,821.40 on Thursday.
The RBI is expected to keep rates steady and retain its tighter monetary stance, as robust economic growth continues to give it space to focus on bringing down inflation towards its medium-term target of 4 per cent. The decision is due at 10 am IST. (Reuters)
The Indian rupee is expected to open broadly unchanged on Friday, holding near to a key level and awaiting the Reserve Bank of India's policy decision and the US non-farm payroll report.
Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will mostly be flat from 83.4725 in the previous session.
"Now with the election excitement out of the way, it should be a quiet session," a spot currency trader at a bank said.
There is a "low probability that we inch past 83.50 (on dollar/rupee) and on the downside, the dip will not be at most 3-4 paise."
On the RBI's policy, he said it was "difficult to see any form of market-moving stuff".
The RBI is widely expected to make no changes to the policy rate or the stance amid robust growth and inflation higher than its target level. The focus will be on inflation and liquidity commentary. (Reuters)
Indian government bond yields are expected to move largely unchanged in the early session on Friday as market participants await the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy decision later in the day.
India's benchmark 10-year yield is likely to move in a 6.99 per cent-7.03 per cent range till the policy decision, following its previous close of 7.0112 per cent, a trader with a state-run bank said.
"Market has recovered in the last couple of days from Tuesday's sharp upswings in yields, and they are now waiting for the RBI policy decision, with the major focus on guidance on inflation as well as liquidity management," the trader said.
The RBI is widely expected to keep interest rates steady and retain its tighter monetary stance at its policy review, amid robust economic growth and an uncertain inflation outlook. (Reuters)
The rupee appreciated 6 paise to 83.47 against the US dollar in early trade on Friday ahead of the RBI monetary policy announcement.
Forex traders said the outflow of foreign funds and an upward movement in the crude oil prices weighed on the Indian currency even though the local unit found support from positive domestic equity markets and softening American currency overseas.
They said that market participants are likely to take cues from the decision of Reserve Bank's rate-setting panel. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of RBI, which began its three-day deliberations on Wednesday, will announce the outcome on Friday. (PTI)
Benchmark equity indices climbed in early trade on Friday, taking their rally to the third day running, ahead of the RBI monetary policy decision to be announced later in the day.
Buying in IT stocks added to the positive trend in markets.
The 30-share BSE Sensex climbed 254.53 points to 75,329.04 in early trade. The NSE Nifty went up by 99.4 points to 22,920.80.
In the past two days, the BSE benchmark surged 2,995.46 points or 4.15 per cent after Tuesday's massive rout. (PTI)
Food inflation, however, remains inflated, said Das, which could possibly derail efforts towards disinflaton.
In FY24-25, domestic economic activity has been resilient, and manufacturing has been gaining ground. Core industries have posted healthy growth, Das said, adding, that India's PMI was the highest globally. Services sector remains buoyant, Das further said.
Quarterly break-up of projected growth:
Q1 - 7.3 per cent
Q2 - 7.2 per cent
Q3 - 7.3 per cent
Q4 - 7.2 per cent
Quarterly break-up of projected CPI inflation:
Q1 - 4.9 per cent
Q2 - 3.8 per cent
Q3 - 4.6 per cent
Q4 - 4.5 per cent
"If we are sure of our path, we should go on striving for it incessantly and uninterruptedly," Guv Das said, quoting Gandhi.
That marks the end of this presser. The next press conference by Guv Das is scheduled for 12 noon today.