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Oil prices extend rally as producers restrain outputOPEC crude production rose for a seventh month in January but the increase was smaller than expected
Reuters
Last Updated IST
Representative image/Credit: Pixabay Image
Representative image/Credit: Pixabay Image

Oil prices rose more than 1 per cent on Tuesday after major crude producers showed they were reining in output roughly in line with their commitments, extending gains in a market thrown out of kilter by weak demand during the coronavirus pandemic.

Brent crude was up 77 cents, or 1.4 per cent, at $57.12 a barrel by 0950 GMT, its third straight day of gains. US oil gained 82 cents, or 1.5 per cent, to $54.37. Both contracts rose more than 2 per cent in the previous session.

OPEC crude production rose for a seventh month in January but the increase was smaller than expected, a Reuters survey found.

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Also, voluntary cuts of 1 million bpd by OPEC's de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, are set to be implemented from the beginning of February though March.

"With OPEC and its allies (OPEC+) endeavouring to keep global oil production below demand, we expect petroleum inventories to keep falling," UBS said in a note.

"With inventories starting to drop in 2H20, the structure of the futures curve has shifted to become downward sloped. This is attracting investors."

The investment bank forecast Brent would reach $63 a barrel by the second half of this year and $65 by the first quarter of 2022.

Russian output increased in January but in line with the agreement on reducing production, while in Kazakhstan oil volume fell for the month.

However, energy giant BP flagged a difficult start to 2021 amid declining product demand, noting that January retail volumes were down by around 20 per cent year on year, compared with a decline of 11 per cent in the fourth quarter.

Oil demand is nevertheless expected to recover in 2021, BP said, with global inventories expected to return to their five-year average by the middle of the year.

Helping to support prices, a severe blizzard hitting a large area of the northeastern United States is pushing up demand for heating fuel.

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(Published 02 February 2021, 09:06 IST)