That's all for today readers, thank you for tuning in to our coverage of exit polls for Bihar Assembly election 2020. A majority of the exit polls gave Tejashwi Yadav-led Opposition alliance an edge in the just concluded Bihar Assembly elections, indicating that the Nitish Kumar-led NDA government may be on its way out. Apoll of polls predicted103 seats for NDA, 124 seats for Mahagathbandhan and six for LJP. The counting of votes will take place on November 10. For more latest news visit www.deccanherald.com.
As of now, a poll of polls predicts 103 seats for NDA, 124 seats for Mahagathbandhan and sixfor LJP.
Bihar election: Exit polls give Tejashwi-led Grand Alliance an edge
Exit polls on Saturday gave Tejashwi Yadav-led Opposition alliance an edge in the just concluded Bihar Assembly elections, indicating that the Nitish Kumar-led NDA government may be on its way out.
News X-Dvresearch Exit Poll:
Grand Alliance -- 108-123 seats
NDA -- 110-117 seats
LJP -- 4-10 seats
Others -- 8-23 seats
Dainik Bhaskar Exit Poll:
Grand Alliance -- 120-127 seats
NDA -- 71-81 seats
LJP -- 12-23 seats
Others -- 19-27 seats
So far, only CNN News18 Today's Chanakya exit poll has given a clear edge to the Grand Alliance, projecting that it would win 180 of the 243 seats.
CNN News18 Today's Chanakya Exit Poll:
Grand Alliance -- 180 seats (+/- 11)
NDA -- 55 seats (+/- 11)
Others -- 8 seats (+/-6)
A poll of polls hints at a hung assembly with Nitish Kumar-led NDA and Tejashwi Yadav-led Grand Alliance engaging in a close battle for 243 seats in Bihar.
Today’s Chanakya Exit Poll:
NDA –- 34% seats (+/-3)
MGB –- 44% seats (+/-3)
Others –- 22% seats (+/-3)
According to a survey by Today’s Chanakya, around 37% of the respondents rated the working of the current Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, as ‘poor’, while 29% rated it as ‘average’ and 21% as ‘good’.
In Bihar, a party or coalition would have to cross 122 for forming the government. Bihar Assembly has 243 seats. A majority of the exit polls have given an edge to Tejashwi Yadav-led Grand Alliance, indicating that the Nitish Kumar-led JD(U) government may be out of its way.
If the exit polls turn true, it would end the uninterrupted 15-year rule by Nitish, which also saw a government he formed with RJD and Congress for a brief period before walking out of the alliance to join hands with the saffron party again.
The projections by exit polls also indicate anti-incumbency factor weighing heavily on chief minister Nitish Kumar who is looking for a fourth successive term in the chair.
According to India Today Axis My India, 44% of voters prefer Tejashwi Yadav as the next chief minister of Bihar. Incumbent Nitish Kumar got thumbs up from 35% respondents whereas Chirag Paswan was preferred by just seven per cent.
Projections by exit polls show Tejashwi Yadav-led RJD gaining the maximum number of seats in the state. It further shows the emergence of Tejashwi Yadav as an alternative to incumbent Nitish Kumar.
People's Pulse Exit Poll:
RJD -- 85-95 seats
Congress -- 15–20 seats
Left -- 3–5 seats
LJP -- 3-5 seats
Independents -- 5-13 seats
BJP -- 65–75 seats
JD(U) -- 25–35 seats
TV9 Bharatvarsh Exit Poll:
Grand Alliance -- 115-125 seats
NDA -- 110-120 seats
LJP -- 3-5 seats
Others -- 10-15 seats
Today's Chanakya Exit Poll:
Grand Alliance -- 108-131 seats
NDA -- 104-128 seats
Others -- 4-8 seats
Republic TV Jan ki Baat Exit Poll:
NDA -- 91-117 seats
Grand Alliance -- 118-138 seats
LJP -- 5-8 seats
Others -- 3-6 seats
Party-wise projections:
BJP -- 53 seats
JD(U) -- 71 seats
RJD -- 80 seats
Congress -- 27 seats
LJP -- 2 seats
Others 10
ABP CVoter Exit Poll:
NDA -- 104-128 seats
Grand Alliance -- 108-131 seats
LJP -- 1-3 seats
Others -- 4-8 seats
Times NowCVoter poll: Vote share percentage predictions are as follows:
NDA – 37.70%
UPDA – 36.30%
LJP – 8.50%
Others – 17.50%
According to Times Now CVoter, NDA is likely to win 116 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan is projected tolead ahead in the Assembly polls with 120 seats. The LJP is projected to win one seat and others 6.
Here's how the parties performed in the last Assembly election:
Bihar Assembly Election 2015 result:
JD(U): 71
BJP: 53
RJD: 80
Congress: 27
Others: 12
Chief Minister Nitish Kumar-led JD(U) and its allies, including the BJP, are aiming to retain power in the state. The ruling coalition is being challenged by the Grand Alliance, or the Mahagathbandhan, comprising Tejashwi Yadav-led RJD, the Congress and other smaller parties.
Exit polls from various TV channels on who is expected to win in the Bihar Assembly election 2020 will be aired shortly.
Polling concludes for Bihar Assembly elections 2020. The counting of votes will take place on November 10.
Voters queue up to cast their ballots during the last phase of Bihar state assembly elections at a polling station in Thakurganj on November 7, 2020. Credit: AFP Photo
According to a Times Now-CVoter opinion poll aired on October 25, theNDA is expected to gain 147 seats.Of this, the BJP is likely to bag 77 seats and JD(U) is projected to clinch 63 seats. And theUPA is set to win 87 seats out of 243 seats.
52.80% voter turnout in third phase of Bihar polls till 5 pm
Bihar saw 52.80 per cent voter turnout till 5 pm in the third and final phase.The poll opened at 7 am in the 78 assembly seats spread across 15 districts of north Bihar.
What happened in 2015?
The grand alliance of the JD(U), RJD and the Congress wronged all exit polls in 2015 as it was declared the winner of a shrill and bitterly fought Bihar assembly elections.
The prominent forecasters in exit polls 2020 are C-Voter which has tied up with news channel Times Now, Axis My India that has partnered with India Today and other agencies like Today’s Chanakya, Lokniti-CSDS etc.
The exit polls are based on responses of people who have cast their votes. Pollsters, assuming that the voters have correctly revealed their choice, predict the results much before the actual counting of votes begins.
The battle in Bihar is between the ruling NDA, with an alliance between the BJP and JD(U), and the Mahagathbandhan, which includes an alliance between the RJD, Congress, Left and others.The RJD is contesting in 144 seats, Congress in 70, and CPI(ML) in 19. The Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), which was part of the NDA in 2015, has decided to go it alone. It is contesting on 137 seats.
With the third and the final leg of polling concluding today, the battle for Bihar has reached its final stage.
An estimated 46 per cent of the total 2.35 crore electors exercised their franchise till 3 pm in the 78 assembly seats of Bihar where polling is underway in the third and final phase of elections on Saturday.
Hello readers, voting in 78 seats in the third and the final phase of Bihar Assembly election 2020 is underway. The voters have exercised their franchise and locked the future of thousands of candidates in the ballot boxes. The counting of votes will take place on November 10. However, before the result, the exit polls will come in today where television channels will air predictions about who is winning the election and whom the voters have favoured. Stay tuned for live updates.