ADVERTISEMENT
Lok Sabha Elections 2024 | 2004 redux: How exit polls missed the mark againIn a dramatic moment underscoring the exit polls' inaccuracies, Axis My India's head, Pradeep Gupta, was seen crying on national television as his firm's predictions proved incorrect.
DHNS
Last Updated IST
<div class="paragraphs"><p>Buoyed by the exit poll predictions, the BJP had made elaborate arrangements to celebrate its projected victory in the Lok Sabha elections. That, however, did not happen - not at least to the extent that the saffron party would have liked.</p></div>

Buoyed by the exit poll predictions, the BJP had made elaborate arrangements to celebrate its projected victory in the Lok Sabha elections. That, however, did not happen - not at least to the extent that the saffron party would have liked.

PTI Photo

Bengaluru: In a repeat of 2004, all pollsters failed to accurately predict the outcome of the 2024 parliamentary elections.

ADVERTISEMENT

Only Dainik Bhaskar correctly forecast the number of seats won by the NDA but missed the mark on the I.N.D.I.A grouping's performance. It predicted 281-350 seats for the NDA and just 145-201 seats for I.N.D.I.A. 

Well-known pollsters Axis My India, C Voter and Today's Chanakya were way off the mark. Axis My India predicted 361-401 seats for the NDA and just 131-166 for I.N.D.I.A. Today's Chanakya, famous for its accurate prediction of the 2014 elections, also erred, forecasting 385-415 seats for the BJP-led coalition.

In a dramatic moment underscoring the exit polls' inaccuracies, Axis My India's head, Pradeep Gupta, was seen crying on national television as his firm's predictions proved incorrect. 

While Axis My India released its sample size, methodology and other details, most other pollsters did not.

Critics, including some Congress leaders, have questioned the pollsters' "inherent bias," pointing to the "under-representation" of female, poor, and rural voters. Some also accused them of conducting telephonic instead of face-to-face interviews with voters.

Track Lok Sabha Election results live | Check all constituency results here

Track Odisha Assembly poll results live | Check constituency results here

Track Andhra Pradesh Assembly poll results live | Check constituency results here

Lok Sabha Elections 2024 | Will it be Narendra Modi's 'Viksit Bharat' or Rahul Gandhi's I.N.D.I.A.? As the world's largest democracy votes to choose its future, track live news, in-depth opinions, and analyses only on Deccan Herald.

Assembly Elections 2024 | Don't miss out on our detailed coverage of the polls in Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, and Odisha. Subscribe and follow DH on Whatsapp, X, Facebook, YouTube, and Instagram to never miss out on anything.

ADVERTISEMENT
(Published 05 June 2024, 06:06 IST)