According to Nasa’s latest projections, the bus-size Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) will likely plummet down to Earth sometime around Friday (September 23). But there is a one-in-3,200 chance that its debris could hit any person, the US space agency officials said.
“Re-entry is expected September 23, plus or minus a day,” they said, adding that at least 26 large pieces of the dead satellite will hit the ground on Earth surviving the scorching temperatures of atmospheric re-entry, LiveScience reported.
Though it’s still uncertain exactly where the debris will fall, Nasa officials indicated that the drop zone for UARS satellite debris could be anywhere between the latitudes of northern Canada and southern South America, an area that includes much of the planet.
The $750-million satellite, which was launched in 1991 to study the ozone layer and the Earth’s upper atmosphere to better understand their role in the planet’s climate, should re-enter over a 804km track, the experts have predicted.
Since 75 per cent of earth is covered with ocean, there is a high likelihood that the satellite will re-enter over the sea or a remote, uninhabited stretch of land, said Victoria Samson, the Washington Office Director of the Secure World Foundation.
The UARS was decommissioned in December 2005 with NASA experts commanding the spacecraft to fire its thrusters one last time to use all its remaining fuel to place it on a years-long path toward disposal in Earth’s atmosphere.