<p>After a week of negotiations filled with grand announcements from nations promising to accelerate the decline of fossil fuels, where do the pledges put projected emissions halfway through the COP26 climate summit?</p>.<p>Countries came in to the UN-led negotiations with their latest national emissions cutting pledges -- known as nationally determined contributions, or NDCs -- placing Earth on course to warm 2.7C this century.</p>.<p>Assuming all net-zero plans are kept and implemented in full, that falls to 2.2C.</p>.<p>The Paris Agreement, the bedrock accord that aims to chart humanity's path away from catastrophic heating, commits nations to limit temperatures to "well below" 2C and to work towards a safer 1.5-C cap.</p>.<p>This week saw several new announcements, including India vowing to be net-zero by 2070 and an international agreement to cut 30 per cent of global methane emissions by 2030.</p>.<p><strong>Read | <a href="https://www.deccanherald.com/national/dh-deciphers-what-is-net-zero-can-india-achieve-it-in-50-years-1046900.html" target="_blank">What is Net Zero? Can India achieve it in 50 years?</a></strong></p>.<p>Experts say these and other pledges could have a significant effect on temperature rises.</p>.<p>Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency, on Thursday said that analysis by his organisation -- which has yet to be published -- showed that if all COP26 pledges were implemented it would limit heating to 1.8C.</p>.<p>He stressed however that the figure was heavily dependent on nations making the swift emissions cuts needed to implement net-zero plans.</p>.<p>"What is essential is for governments to turn their pledges into clear and credible policy actions and strategies today."</p>.<p>An assessment by the University of Melbourne this week analysed countries new net-zero pledges, including India and largest emitter China's and found that they represent Assessment from the University of Melbourne said there had been a "strong step forward" towards 1.5C.</p>.<p>The team ran the NDCs through the same climate model used on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's most recent report.</p>.<p>They found that the new promises -- again, if implemented, would warm Earth 1.9C by 2100.</p>.<p>UN Climate Change on Thursday issued a rapid assessment of the new NDCs.</p>.<p><strong>Read | <a href="https://www.deccanherald.com/international/world-news-politics/india-china-among-big-coal-users-missing-from-cop26-phase-out-deal-1047513.html" target="_blank">India, China missing from COP26 coal phase-out deal</a></strong></p>.<p>While it has yet to convert the calculations to a temperature rise equivalent, it found that latest plans would see carbon emissions rise 13.7 per cent by 2030.</p>.<p>This compares with the 45 per cent drop in pollution needed for 1.5C.</p>.<p>It however said that for the 74 nations that have submitted detailed net-zero plans, emissions would be 70-79 per cent lower in 2050 compared with 2019 levels.</p>.<p>The UN Environment Programme said last month that only emissions cuts this decade that are eight times deeper than planned would keep temperatures to 1.5C.</p>.<p>UNEP director Inger Andersen told AFP that she welcomed the numbers circulating after the first week of COP26.</p>.<p>"But we don't do back on the envelope calculation, we do technical work," she told AFP.</p>.<p>"Obviously the more announcements that are out there the better it is, but these announcements have to be followed by action."</p>.<p>Juan Pablo Osornio, from Greenpeace, said that the only figure that really mattered was 1.5C.</p>.<p>"If we breach 1.5C then some countries will simply disappear from the map," he said.</p>.<p>"So the takeaway from these calculations is that we need to see not just words but action, and a lot more of it."</p>.<p><strong>Watch latest videos by DH here:</strong></p>
<p>After a week of negotiations filled with grand announcements from nations promising to accelerate the decline of fossil fuels, where do the pledges put projected emissions halfway through the COP26 climate summit?</p>.<p>Countries came in to the UN-led negotiations with their latest national emissions cutting pledges -- known as nationally determined contributions, or NDCs -- placing Earth on course to warm 2.7C this century.</p>.<p>Assuming all net-zero plans are kept and implemented in full, that falls to 2.2C.</p>.<p>The Paris Agreement, the bedrock accord that aims to chart humanity's path away from catastrophic heating, commits nations to limit temperatures to "well below" 2C and to work towards a safer 1.5-C cap.</p>.<p>This week saw several new announcements, including India vowing to be net-zero by 2070 and an international agreement to cut 30 per cent of global methane emissions by 2030.</p>.<p><strong>Read | <a href="https://www.deccanherald.com/national/dh-deciphers-what-is-net-zero-can-india-achieve-it-in-50-years-1046900.html" target="_blank">What is Net Zero? Can India achieve it in 50 years?</a></strong></p>.<p>Experts say these and other pledges could have a significant effect on temperature rises.</p>.<p>Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency, on Thursday said that analysis by his organisation -- which has yet to be published -- showed that if all COP26 pledges were implemented it would limit heating to 1.8C.</p>.<p>He stressed however that the figure was heavily dependent on nations making the swift emissions cuts needed to implement net-zero plans.</p>.<p>"What is essential is for governments to turn their pledges into clear and credible policy actions and strategies today."</p>.<p>An assessment by the University of Melbourne this week analysed countries new net-zero pledges, including India and largest emitter China's and found that they represent Assessment from the University of Melbourne said there had been a "strong step forward" towards 1.5C.</p>.<p>The team ran the NDCs through the same climate model used on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's most recent report.</p>.<p>They found that the new promises -- again, if implemented, would warm Earth 1.9C by 2100.</p>.<p>UN Climate Change on Thursday issued a rapid assessment of the new NDCs.</p>.<p><strong>Read | <a href="https://www.deccanherald.com/international/world-news-politics/india-china-among-big-coal-users-missing-from-cop26-phase-out-deal-1047513.html" target="_blank">India, China missing from COP26 coal phase-out deal</a></strong></p>.<p>While it has yet to convert the calculations to a temperature rise equivalent, it found that latest plans would see carbon emissions rise 13.7 per cent by 2030.</p>.<p>This compares with the 45 per cent drop in pollution needed for 1.5C.</p>.<p>It however said that for the 74 nations that have submitted detailed net-zero plans, emissions would be 70-79 per cent lower in 2050 compared with 2019 levels.</p>.<p>The UN Environment Programme said last month that only emissions cuts this decade that are eight times deeper than planned would keep temperatures to 1.5C.</p>.<p>UNEP director Inger Andersen told AFP that she welcomed the numbers circulating after the first week of COP26.</p>.<p>"But we don't do back on the envelope calculation, we do technical work," she told AFP.</p>.<p>"Obviously the more announcements that are out there the better it is, but these announcements have to be followed by action."</p>.<p>Juan Pablo Osornio, from Greenpeace, said that the only figure that really mattered was 1.5C.</p>.<p>"If we breach 1.5C then some countries will simply disappear from the map," he said.</p>.<p>"So the takeaway from these calculations is that we need to see not just words but action, and a lot more of it."</p>.<p><strong>Watch latest videos by DH here:</strong></p>