Mainland Chinese surge into Hong Kong property after stamp duties scrapped

The surge of mainland Chinese buyers into one of the world's most expensive housing markets comes amid battered confidence in the mainland's housing market due to a debt crisis and an uncertain economic outlook.

Hong Kong: After a pandemic-induced lull spanning more than three years, mainland Chinese are snapping up homes in Hong Kong, accounting for up to a third of new property sales weeks after the city removed all additional stamp duties on foreign buyers.

The surge of mainland Chinese buyers into one of the world's most expensive housing markets - reported by several property agents and developers - comes amid battered confidence in the mainland's housing market due to a debt crisis and an uncertain economic outlook.

Mainland Chinese now account for 20 per cent to 30 per cent of new home sales, according to estimates by realtors, with some buyers recently purchasing up to eight apartments at once.

Hong Kong in late February removed all additional stamp duties, including those for purchases of second properties, as well as duties on those selling flats within two years of buying them. Foreigners, who had to pay 15 per cent tax since October, from 30 per cent previously, now pay around 4.25 per cent, on par with locals.

The reversal of what was deemed an unsuccessful government push during the 2010s to cool housing prices came after Hong Kong housing prices plunged more than 20 per cent from their 2021 peak due to higher mortgage rates, an outflow of talent and a weak market outlook.

But even though sales have risen, prices remain suppressed as developers offer discounts to clear inventory. SP Global Ratings estimated transaction volumes this year would recover only moderately from 2023, as interest rates remain high.

Property remains a mainstay of the Hong Kong economy, and the share of purchases by mainland Chinese climbed to 17 per cent, a record high, in the fourth quarter of last year, research by realtor Midland Realty showed.

The increase coincides with a bid by the Hong Kong government to attract talent by waiving an additional stamp duty for foreign buyers, unless they fail to gain citizenship after seven years.

Now, that share has risen further to around 30 per cent in the primary market, Midland said, based on their internal sales.

At a new launch this month by Wheelock Properties and MTR Corp, mainland Chinese professionals planning to move to Hong Kong accounted for around 20 per cent of those who had expressed an intention to buy, the developer said.

Some mainland Chinese are buying in bulk.

Two weeks ago, major property developer Henderson Land sold all 30 apartments on offer at a launch event, according to realtor Centaline. Two buyers bought eight apartments each, and one of them, who spent HK$42 million ($5.4 million) in total, was from mainland China.

In another Henderson development in Kowloon district, a mainland Chinese buyer bought five apartments totalling HK$25 million, according to media reports.

Developers including CK Asset and New World Development have also said they would do more marketing aimed at mainland Chinese.

Buyers in Shenzhen are particularly interested in Hong Kong, property agents say. The southern city and business hub borders the city.

Alan Cheng, CEO of southern China of Centaline Property Agency, said the company had received more than 1,500 enquiries from Shenzhen about Hong Kong property and completed eight transactions in the last two weeks.

"We have clients who have never cared about Hong Kong but are now asking about the threshold and yield for investing in a property," he said.

"They heard Hong Kong is a good market."

($1 = 7.8210 Hong Kong dollars)